Snelling Road Race • Feb 22 2020 • Snelling, CA — Photo by Katie Miu

Predicting winners in cycling races with Machine Learning

With 95% accuracy, we can use performance data to predict which athletes will be on the podium

A little bit of context

First version — Race Field Analysis

Race Field Analysis — Analysis and prediction screen of The Tour of St. Louis race
Women Cat 3 Podium • Snelling Road Race

Covid-19

Zwift

Image credit: Zwift

Second version — ZRace

ZRace — analysis and prediction screen of 3R Figure 8 Hilly race

Under the hood — Statistical models

The predictive model iterations were:

Results

Random Forest Feature Importance
ZRace — Result vs Prediction

Conclusion

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